Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 1 draw and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Coritiba beat Paraná with a 23.9% chance and Bahia beat ASA with a 23.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 31 (before the first match) against those on August 7 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paraná | Promotion | 33.9% | 20.1% | −13.8 |
| Red Bull Bragantino | Relegation | 36.8% | 23.3% | −13.5 |
| Portuguesa | Promotion | 47.0% | 56.6% | +9.6 |
| Náutico | Promotion | 54.7% | 45.3% | −9.3 |
| Figueirense | Promotion | 57.0% | 65.4% | +8.4 |
| Coritiba | Promotion | 66.5% | 74.5% | +8.0 |
| Guaratinguetá | Promotion | 20.4% | 12.5% | −7.9 |
| América-RN | Relegation | 61.8% | 69.5% | +7.8 |
| Brasiliense | Relegation | 15.4% | 8.2% | −7.2 |
| ASA | Promotion | 14.7% | 7.8% | −6.9 |
