Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 4 draws and no away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 17 (before the first match) against those on July 24 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paraná | Promotion | 32.3% | 21.9% | −10.4 |
| Duque de Caxias | Relegation | 64.0% | 53.9% | −10.0 |
| América-MG | Promotion | 23.7% | 33.2% | +9.5 |
| São Caetano | Promotion | 24.8% | 34.1% | +9.2 |
| Coritiba | Promotion | 48.5% | 57.2% | +8.7 |
| Brasiliense | Relegation | 18.2% | 9.6% | −8.5 |
| Náutico | Promotion | 55.7% | 64.1% | +8.4 |
| Icasa | Relegation | 10.3% | 16.8% | +6.5 |
| ASA | Promotion | 15.7% | 10.1% | −5.6 |
| Figueirense | Champion | 24.0% | 18.8% | −5.2 |
