Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 6 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Figueirense beat Bahia with a 23.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on June 27 (before the first match) against those on July 4 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ponte Preta | Promotion | 37.1% | 47.4% | +10.3 |
| Figueirense | Promotion | 18.0% | 26.2% | +8.2 |
| Bahia | Promotion | 19.2% | 11.4% | −7.9 |
| Juventude | Relegation | 33.0% | 40.3% | +7.3 |
| América-RN | Relegation | 15.3% | 8.4% | −6.9 |
| Brasiliense | Promotion | 62.7% | 55.9% | −6.8 |
| Portuguesa | Promotion | 37.8% | 44.5% | +6.7 |
| América-RN | Promotion | 11.1% | 16.8% | +5.7 |
| Vasco | Promotion | 30.2% | 25.1% | −5.1 |
| Campinense | Relegation | 78.8% | 83.6% | +4.8 |
