Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 3 draws and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Fortaleza beat Ipatinga with a 18.5% chance and Portuguesa beat Red Bull Bragantino with a 23.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on June 20 (before the first match) against those on June 27 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortaleza | Relegation | 36.1% | 22.1% | −14.0 |
| Brasiliense | Promotion | 49.0% | 62.7% | +13.7 |
| Ceará | Relegation | 34.8% | 23.3% | −11.5 |
| Ipatinga | Promotion | 29.0% | 17.5% | −11.4 |
| Portuguesa | Promotion | 27.7% | 37.8% | +10.1 |
| Paraná | Relegation | 23.3% | 32.5% | +9.2 |
| Ponte Preta | Promotion | 29.3% | 37.1% | +7.9 |
| Atlético-GO | Promotion | 26.2% | 33.4% | +7.2 |
| Red Bull Bragantino | Promotion | 16.2% | 9.5% | −6.8 |
| América-RN | Promotion | 17.8% | 11.1% | −6.7 |
