Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 9 home wins, 1 draw and no away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 4 (before the first match) against those on July 11 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ponte Preta | Promotion | 47.4% | 35.9% | −11.5 |
| Atlético-GO | Promotion | 33.1% | 44.0% | +10.9 |
| Brasiliense | Promotion | 55.9% | 45.5% | −10.4 |
| Campinense | Relegation | 83.6% | 75.1% | −8.5 |
| Ceará | Relegation | 21.9% | 13.5% | −8.3 |
| Vasco | Promotion | 25.1% | 32.7% | +7.7 |
| América-RN | Promotion | 16.8% | 24.3% | +7.5 |
| ABC | Relegation | 57.8% | 65.2% | +7.3 |
| Guarani | Champion | 33.1% | 40.3% | +7.2 |
| Paraná | Relegation | 36.7% | 43.8% | +7.1 |
