Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. 4 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Brasiliense beat Portuguesa with a 22.0% chance, Fortaleza beat Campinense with a 24.5% chance, Guarani beat Ponte Preta with a 20.8% chance, and Atlético-GO beat Vila Nova with a 21.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on June 13 (before the first match) against those on June 20 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortaleza | Relegation | 53.0% | 36.1% | −16.9 |
| Campinense | Relegation | 59.6% | 74.1% | +14.5 |
| Guarani | Promotion | 53.3% | 66.8% | +13.5 |
| Brasiliense | Promotion | 36.3% | 49.0% | +12.7 |
| Portuguesa | Promotion | 40.2% | 27.7% | −12.5 |
| Ponte Preta | Promotion | 41.2% | 29.3% | −11.9 |
| Guarani | Champion | 20.2% | 30.5% | +10.3 |
| Juventude | Relegation | 41.6% | 32.0% | −9.7 |
| Atlético-GO | Promotion | 16.8% | 26.2% | +9.4 |
| Ceará | Relegation | 44.0% | 34.8% | −9.2 |
