Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Portuguesa beat Ipatinga with a 20.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on June 6 (before the first match) against those on June 13 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ipatinga | Promotion | 45.8% | 29.3% | −16.5 |
| Portuguesa | Promotion | 24.6% | 40.2% | +15.6 |
| São Caetano | Relegation | 28.4% | 43.4% | +15.0 |
| Ponte Preta | Promotion | 28.1% | 41.2% | +13.0 |
| Brasiliense | Promotion | 23.5% | 36.3% | +12.8 |
| ABC | Relegation | 58.1% | 46.8% | −11.3 |
| Duque de Caxias | Relegation | 22.2% | 11.7% | −10.5 |
| Bahia | Promotion | 34.3% | 24.3% | −10.1 |
| Fortaleza | Relegation | 62.4% | 53.0% | −9.4 |
| Juventude | Relegation | 32.9% | 41.6% | +8.7 |
