Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Paraná beat Juventude with a 21.8% chance and Guarani beat Figueirense with a 20.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 30 (before the first match) against those on June 6 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guarani | Promotion | 45.1% | 59.5% | +14.4 |
| Figueirense | Promotion | 38.1% | 24.6% | −13.5 |
| Campinense | Relegation | 67.2% | 55.3% | −11.9 |
| ABC | Relegation | 47.0% | 58.1% | +11.1 |
| Bahia | Promotion | 24.1% | 34.3% | +10.3 |
| Portuguesa | Promotion | 34.5% | 24.6% | −9.9 |
| Guarani | Champion | 14.8% | 24.5% | +9.7 |
| Ponte Preta | Promotion | 18.5% | 28.1% | +9.6 |
| Paraná | Relegation | 25.2% | 16.0% | −9.2 |
| Juventude | Relegation | 24.1% | 32.9% | +8.8 |
