Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: América-RN beat São Caetano with a 22.8% chance and Vila Nova beat Duque de Caxias with a 24.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 23 (before the first match) against those on May 30 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paraná | Relegation | 40.4% | 25.2% | −15.2 |
| Vasco | Promotion | 60.2% | 46.6% | −13.6 |
| ABC | Relegation | 59.9% | 47.0% | −12.8 |
| Ipatinga | Promotion | 34.6% | 47.0% | +12.4 |
| Campinense | Relegation | 55.7% | 67.2% | +11.5 |
| Brasiliense | Promotion | 21.1% | 31.5% | +10.4 |
| Juventude | Relegation | 14.7% | 24.1% | +9.5 |
| São Caetano | Relegation | 20.8% | 29.6% | +8.8 |
| América-RN | Relegation | 22.6% | 13.9% | −8.7 |
| Guarani | Promotion | 36.7% | 45.1% | +8.4 |
