Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, no draws and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Portuguesa beat Figueirense with a 19.6% chance and Ipatinga beat Ponte Preta with a 21.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 16 (before the first match) against those on May 23 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Figueirense | Promotion | 57.6% | 40.4% | −17.2 |
| América-RN | Relegation | 39.2% | 22.6% | −16.6 |
| Ponte Preta | Promotion | 31.5% | 19.4% | −12.1 |
| Atlético-GO | Promotion | 29.7% | 18.1% | −11.7 |
| ABC | Relegation | 48.3% | 59.9% | +11.6 |
| Vasco | Promotion | 48.8% | 60.2% | +11.4 |
| Duque de Caxias | Promotion | 26.3% | 15.5% | −10.8 |
| Paraná | Relegation | 30.0% | 40.4% | +10.4 |
| Figueirense | Champion | 21.2% | 10.9% | −10.3 |
| Juventude | Relegation | 25.0% | 14.7% | −10.3 |
