Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 4 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Portuguesa beat Paraná with a 24.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 29 (before the first match) against those on October 3 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juventude | Relegation | 31.2% | 16.4% | −14.7 |
| São Caetano | Promotion | 12.1% | 4.8% | −7.2 |
| Guarani | Champion | 26.0% | 19.5% | −6.5 |
| Guarani | Promotion | 92.9% | 86.5% | −6.4 |
| Atlético-GO | Promotion | 64.6% | 70.7% | +6.1 |
| América-RN | Relegation | 66.1% | 71.5% | +5.4 |
| Portuguesa | Promotion | 8.7% | 13.9% | +5.3 |
| Paraná | Relegation | 7.7% | 12.8% | +5.0 |
| Bahia | Relegation | 42.4% | 47.0% | +4.6 |
| ABC | Relegation | 49.8% | 54.2% | +4.4 |
