Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Figueirense beat Paraná with a 24.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 19 (before the first match) against those on September 26 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Figueirense | Promotion | 21.2% | 34.5% | +13.2 |
| ABC | Relegation | 74.4% | 61.5% | −12.9 |
| São Caetano | Promotion | 40.7% | 29.4% | −11.3 |
| Fortaleza | Relegation | 81.7% | 71.0% | −10.7 |
| Duque de Caxias | Relegation | 31.0% | 40.0% | +9.0 |
| Paraná | Relegation | 10.8% | 17.5% | +6.7 |
| Vasco | Champion | 75.2% | 81.2% | +6.0 |
| Atlético-GO | Promotion | 71.8% | 77.5% | +5.7 |
| América-RN | Relegation | 49.4% | 55.0% | +5.6 |
| Guarani | Promotion | 79.4% | 84.9% | +5.5 |
