Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 3 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Vasco beat São Caetano with a 24.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 12 (before the first match) against those on September 15 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| São Caetano | Promotion | 35.0% | 20.4% | −14.6 |
| Duque de Caxias | Relegation | 57.0% | 45.7% | −11.3 |
| ABC | Relegation | 75.0% | 64.2% | −10.8 |
| Atlético-GO | Promotion | 66.0% | 75.9% | +9.9 |
| Guarani | Promotion | 71.8% | 81.4% | +9.6 |
| Ceará | Promotion | 57.8% | 67.3% | +9.5 |
| Vasco | Champion | 51.3% | 59.4% | +8.1 |
| Fortaleza | Relegation | 63.3% | 71.3% | +8.1 |
| Portuguesa | Promotion | 29.5% | 22.2% | −7.2 |
| Vila Nova | Relegation | 21.6% | 27.8% | +6.2 |
