Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: São Caetano beat Figueirense with a 22.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 15 (before the first match) against those on August 22 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ceará | Promotion | 35.1% | 50.8% | +15.7 |
| Fortaleza | Relegation | 46.9% | 34.3% | −12.6 |
| Figueirense | Promotion | 31.9% | 19.5% | −12.4 |
| Juventude | Relegation | 41.2% | 29.1% | −12.1 |
| Guarani | Promotion | 59.7% | 47.9% | −11.8 |
| América-RN | Relegation | 19.7% | 31.2% | +11.5 |
| São Caetano | Promotion | 20.9% | 31.7% | +10.8 |
| Vasco | Champion | 37.7% | 47.8% | +10.0 |
| Atlético-GO | Champion | 32.0% | 22.9% | −9.1 |
| Bahia | Relegation | 26.9% | 19.5% | −7.4 |
