Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Campinense beat ABC with a 20.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 11 (before the first match) against those on August 15 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portuguesa | Promotion | 28.7% | 16.1% | −12.7 |
| Paraná | Relegation | 22.4% | 12.3% | −10.1 |
| Vasco | Promotion | 74.6% | 83.9% | +9.3 |
| Figueirense | Promotion | 22.9% | 31.9% | +9.0 |
| Guarani | Promotion | 51.2% | 59.7% | +8.6 |
| Ceará | Promotion | 43.1% | 35.1% | −8.0 |
| Vasco | Champion | 30.2% | 37.7% | +7.5 |
| ABC | Relegation | 75.8% | 83.1% | +7.3 |
| Fortaleza | Relegation | 40.8% | 46.9% | +6.1 |
| Red Bull Bragantino | Promotion | 19.0% | 13.2% | −5.8 |
