Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 6 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: São Caetano beat Juventude with a 24.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 8 (before the first match) against those on August 11 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guarani | Promotion | 39.1% | 51.2% | +12.1 |
| Juventude | Relegation | 27.4% | 37.8% | +10.3 |
| Duque de Caxias | Relegation | 24.3% | 16.4% | −8.0 |
| São Caetano | Promotion | 8.6% | 16.2% | +7.6 |
| Ceará | Promotion | 50.0% | 43.1% | −6.9 |
| São Caetano | Relegation | 12.5% | 5.8% | −6.7 |
| Figueirense | Promotion | 28.6% | 22.9% | −5.6 |
| Portuguesa | Promotion | 34.1% | 28.7% | −5.3 |
| Red Bull Bragantino | Promotion | 13.9% | 19.0% | +5.1 |
| Guarani | Champion | 7.3% | 12.2% | +4.9 |
