Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 1 draw and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Juventude beat Portuguesa with a 20.0% chance and América-RN beat Figueirense with a 17.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 1 (before the first match) against those on August 8 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ABC | Relegation | 62.9% | 77.0% | +14.1 |
| Ceará | Promotion | 37.8% | 50.0% | +12.3 |
| Figueirense | Promotion | 39.9% | 28.6% | −11.4 |
| Vasco | Champion | 18.5% | 29.8% | +11.3 |
| Vasco | Promotion | 64.4% | 75.2% | +10.8 |
| Portuguesa | Promotion | 44.3% | 34.1% | −10.2 |
| Juventude | Relegation | 37.0% | 27.4% | −9.6 |
| América-RN | Relegation | 30.8% | 21.9% | −8.9 |
| Paraná | Relegation | 29.8% | 22.0% | −7.8 |
| Bahia | Relegation | 14.2% | 21.9% | +7.7 |
