Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 1 draw and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Atlético-GO beat Guarani with a 23.9% chance and São Caetano beat Ipatinga with a 21.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 28 (before the first match) against those on August 1 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético-GO | Champion | 23.7% | 39.1% | +15.4 |
| Atlético-GO | Promotion | 65.2% | 80.5% | +15.3 |
| Vasco | Promotion | 49.7% | 64.4% | +14.7 |
| Juventude | Relegation | 22.8% | 37.0% | +14.2 |
| Guarani | Promotion | 55.2% | 43.9% | −11.3 |
| Figueirense | Promotion | 48.9% | 39.9% | −9.0 |
| São Caetano | Relegation | 23.1% | 14.7% | −8.3 |
| ABC | Relegation | 70.7% | 62.9% | −7.8 |
| Guarani | Champion | 16.5% | 8.8% | −7.8 |
| Fortaleza | Relegation | 40.4% | 32.8% | −7.6 |
