Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 1 draw and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: ABC beat Paraná with a 16.4% chance and Red Bull Bragantino beat América-RN with a 24.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 25 (before the first match) against those on July 28 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ABC | Relegation | 85.6% | 70.7% | −14.9 |
| São Caetano | Relegation | 35.4% | 23.1% | −12.3 |
| Guarani | Promotion | 64.8% | 55.2% | −9.6 |
| Guarani | Champion | 25.4% | 16.5% | −8.8 |
| Paraná | Relegation | 14.1% | 22.3% | +8.2 |
| Atlético-GO | Promotion | 57.4% | 65.2% | +7.8 |
| América-RN | Relegation | 16.1% | 23.8% | +7.8 |
| Red Bull Bragantino | Promotion | 13.6% | 21.2% | +7.5 |
| Ipatinga | Promotion | 16.8% | 9.8% | −6.9 |
| Brasiliense | Promotion | 16.4% | 9.6% | −6.8 |
