Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 2 draws and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Figueirense beat Ponte Preta with a 22.0% chance and Atlético-GO beat Brasiliense with a 23.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 18 (before the first match) against those on July 25 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ponte Preta | Promotion | 44.3% | 30.4% | −13.8 |
| Atlético-GO | Promotion | 45.7% | 57.4% | +11.7 |
| Figueirense | Promotion | 31.5% | 42.7% | +11.2 |
| Vasco | Promotion | 55.3% | 45.6% | −9.8 |
| Brasiliense | Promotion | 25.9% | 16.4% | −9.5 |
| Ceará | Promotion | 21.0% | 30.1% | +9.1 |
| Fortaleza | Relegation | 28.1% | 36.7% | +8.6 |
| Duque de Caxias | Relegation | 23.5% | 32.1% | +8.6 |
| Vila Nova | Relegation | 37.7% | 29.5% | −8.1 |
| Paraná | Relegation | 21.4% | 14.1% | −7.3 |
