Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 1 draw and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Paraná beat Guarani with a 17.8% chance and Juventude beat América-RN with a 21.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 14 (before the first match) against those on July 18 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juventude | Relegation | 36.1% | 24.3% | −11.8 |
| Paraná | Relegation | 32.9% | 21.4% | −11.5 |
| Guarani | Promotion | 79.0% | 68.0% | −11.0 |
| Guarani | Champion | 39.3% | 28.6% | −10.7 |
| São Caetano | Relegation | 40.1% | 29.7% | −10.4 |
| Portuguesa | Promotion | 49.3% | 39.0% | −10.3 |
| Atlético-GO | Promotion | 36.6% | 45.7% | +9.1 |
| Vila Nova | Relegation | 28.6% | 37.7% | +9.1 |
| Brasiliense | Promotion | 34.8% | 25.9% | −8.9 |
| Fortaleza | Relegation | 19.3% | 28.1% | +8.8 |
