Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Ceará beat Brasiliense with a 20.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on July 11 (before the first match) against those on July 14 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| São Caetano | Relegation | 55.1% | 40.1% | −15.0 |
| Vasco | Promotion | 32.7% | 46.9% | +14.2 |
| ABC | Relegation | 65.2% | 78.4% | +13.2 |
| Vila Nova | Relegation | 16.9% | 28.6% | +11.8 |
| Paraná | Relegation | 43.8% | 32.9% | −10.9 |
| Brasiliense | Promotion | 45.5% | 34.8% | −10.7 |
| Juventude | Relegation | 46.4% | 36.1% | −10.4 |
| Portuguesa | Promotion | 39.3% | 49.3% | +10.0 |
| Figueirense | Promotion | 32.8% | 23.4% | −9.5 |
| Ponte Preta | Promotion | 35.9% | 44.9% | +9.0 |
