Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 3 home wins, 5 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Grêmio Barueri beat CRB with a 23.0% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on June 14 (before the first match) against those on June 21 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avaí | Promotion | 25.6% | 40.9% | +15.4 |
| América-RN | Relegation | 36.5% | 50.6% | +14.1 |
| Gama | Relegation | 45.3% | 34.1% | −11.3 |
| Grêmio Barueri | Relegation | 24.8% | 14.3% | −10.5 |
| CRB | Relegation | 30.8% | 40.1% | +9.3 |
| Fortaleza | Promotion | 33.4% | 26.3% | −7.1 |
| Grêmio Barueri | Promotion | 10.0% | 16.8% | +6.7 |
| Criciúma | Promotion | 14.5% | 20.7% | +6.2 |
| Paraná | Relegation | 26.9% | 21.5% | −5.5 |
| Criciúma | Relegation | 17.0% | 11.6% | −5.4 |
