Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 3 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Santo André beat Grêmio Barueri with a 21.6% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on June 7 (before the first match) against those on June 14 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santo André | Relegation | 31.0% | 15.3% | −15.6 |
| Gama | Relegation | 58.7% | 45.3% | −13.4 |
| América-RN | Relegation | 26.1% | 36.5% | +10.4 |
| Marília | Relegation | 23.6% | 14.1% | −9.5 |
| Grêmio Barueri | Relegation | 15.5% | 24.8% | +9.3 |
| Avaí | Promotion | 16.6% | 25.6% | +9.0 |
| Ponte Preta | Relegation | 27.1% | 36.1% | +9.0 |
| Red Bull Bragantino | Relegation | 24.6% | 33.4% | +8.8 |
| Santo André | Promotion | 7.6% | 16.5% | +8.8 |
| Grêmio Barueri | Promotion | 18.8% | 10.0% | −8.8 |
