Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 2 home wins, 5 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Gama beat Ponte Preta with a 15.4% chance and Bahia beat Criciúma with a 17.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 31 (before the first match) against those on June 7 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corinthians | Champion | 35.6% | 51.8% | +16.2 |
| Bahia | Relegation | 43.7% | 28.9% | −14.8 |
| Gama | Relegation | 73.2% | 58.7% | −14.5 |
| Corinthians | Promotion | 73.4% | 86.0% | +12.6 |
| Red Bull Bragantino | Relegation | 34.2% | 24.6% | −9.6 |
| Grêmio Barueri | Promotion | 27.7% | 18.8% | −8.9 |
| Ponte Preta | Relegation | 18.7% | 27.1% | +8.4 |
| Vila Nova | Relegation | 25.3% | 17.4% | −7.9 |
| Grêmio Barueri | Relegation | 8.2% | 15.5% | +7.3 |
| Criciúma | Promotion | 22.7% | 15.7% | −7.0 |
