Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: América-RN beat São Caetano with a 21.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 13 (before the first match) against those on November 16 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| América-RN | Relegation | 44.8% | 13.4% | −31.3 |
| Fortaleza | Relegation | 55.5% | 84.1% | +28.6 |
| Grêmio Barueri | Promotion | 74.9% | 91.3% | +16.5 |
| Vila Nova | Promotion | 10.1% | 1.3% | −8.9 |
| Ponte Preta | Promotion | 7.4% | <0.1% | −7.3 |
| Marília | Relegation | 24.5% | 28.7% | +4.2 |
| Criciúma | Relegation | 71.9% | 68.6% | −3.3 |
