Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 2 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Fortaleza beat Red Bull Bragantino with a 22.1% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 16 (before the first match) against those on November 22 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortaleza | Relegation | 84.1% | 29.9% | −54.2 |
| Marília | Relegation | 28.7% | 55.7% | +27.0 |
| Criciúma | Relegation | 68.6% | 89.1% | +20.5 |
| América-RN | Relegation | 13.4% | 25.3% | +11.8 |
| Grêmio Barueri | Promotion | 91.3% | 100% | +8.7 |
| Red Bull Bragantino | Promotion | 7.5% | 0% | −7.4 |
| ABC | Relegation | 3.0% | <0.1% | −3.0 |
