Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 1 draw and 4 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Brasiliense beat Paraná with a 22.4% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 11 (before the first match) against those on October 19 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gama | Relegation | 63.5% | 82.0% | +18.5 |
| Brasiliense | Relegation | 33.2% | 15.0% | −18.3 |
| Santo André | Promotion | 67.1% | 81.5% | +14.4 |
| Avaí | Promotion | 79.1% | 93.3% | +14.2 |
| Paraná | Relegation | 9.1% | 21.7% | +12.6 |
| América-RN | Relegation | 30.3% | 42.4% | +12.0 |
| Criciúma | Relegation | 46.2% | 36.5% | −9.7 |
| Vila Nova | Promotion | 51.1% | 41.7% | −9.4 |
| Marília | Relegation | 69.3% | 60.3% | −9.0 |
| ABC | Relegation | 19.1% | 10.3% | −8.8 |
