Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 3 draws and no away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 4 (before the first match) against those on October 11 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brasiliense | Relegation | 49.9% | 33.2% | −16.6 |
| Vila Nova | Promotion | 65.1% | 51.1% | −14.0 |
| América-RN | Relegation | 43.8% | 30.3% | −13.4 |
| Grêmio Barueri | Promotion | 45.3% | 58.3% | +13.0 |
| Ponte Preta | Promotion | 30.0% | 18.0% | −12.1 |
| Avaí | Promotion | 69.0% | 79.1% | +10.1 |
| Gama | Relegation | 55.3% | 63.5% | +8.2 |
| Criciúma | Relegation | 38.1% | 46.2% | +8.1 |
| Marília | Relegation | 61.3% | 69.3% | +8.0 |
| Red Bull Bragantino | Promotion | 15.7% | 21.8% | +6.0 |
