Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 3 draws and no away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 17 (before the first match) against those on September 20 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortaleza | Relegation | 54.4% | 42.4% | −12.0 |
| Red Bull Bragantino | Promotion | 34.7% | 46.2% | +11.5 |
| Brasiliense | Relegation | 59.5% | 49.3% | −10.1 |
| Paraná | Relegation | 38.9% | 48.3% | +9.4 |
| Avaí | Promotion | 70.6% | 61.6% | −9.0 |
| Grêmio Barueri | Promotion | 20.7% | 28.2% | +7.4 |
| ABC | Relegation | 16.0% | 9.1% | −6.9 |
| Corinthians | Champion | 86.4% | 93.1% | +6.8 |
| Marília | Relegation | 25.1% | 31.8% | +6.8 |
| Criciúma | Relegation | 25.9% | 32.0% | +6.1 |
