Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 4 draws and no away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 13 (before the first match) against those on September 17 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paraná | Relegation | 52.9% | 38.9% | −14.0 |
| Criciúma | Relegation | 36.6% | 25.9% | −10.7 |
| Grêmio Barueri | Promotion | 30.7% | 20.7% | −10.0 |
| Avaí | Promotion | 79.4% | 70.6% | −8.8 |
| Vila Nova | Promotion | 63.8% | 71.7% | +7.9 |
| Red Bull Bragantino | Promotion | 28.2% | 34.7% | +6.6 |
| Marília | Relegation | 19.1% | 25.1% | +6.0 |
| Santo André | Promotion | 64.3% | 70.3% | +6.0 |
| Fortaleza | Relegation | 49.1% | 54.4% | +5.4 |
| América-RN | Relegation | 32.1% | 37.4% | +5.3 |
