Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Vila Nova beat Ceará with a 23.6% chance and CRB beat São Caetano with a 17.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 23 (before the first match) against those on August 27 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paraná | Relegation | 69.7% | 54.3% | −15.4 |
| Vila Nova | Promotion | 41.6% | 55.2% | +13.7 |
| Criciúma | Relegation | 31.7% | 43.2% | +11.6 |
| Ponte Preta | Promotion | 32.8% | 22.6% | −10.3 |
| Ceará | Promotion | 16.2% | 7.9% | −8.3 |
| CRB | Relegation | 95.0% | 87.7% | −7.3 |
| São Caetano | Promotion | 12.1% | 5.1% | −7.1 |
| Juventude | Promotion | 13.4% | 20.4% | +7.1 |
| Grêmio Barueri | Promotion | 36.5% | 43.1% | +6.6 |
| Corinthians | Champion | 66.1% | 72.5% | +6.4 |
