Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 1 draw and 4 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Brasiliense beat América-RN with a 21.1% chance and Red Bull Bragantino beat Juventude with a 20.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 27 (before the first match) against those on August 30 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brasiliense | Relegation | 74.3% | 58.5% | −15.8 |
| Santo André | Promotion | 50.6% | 65.8% | +15.2 |
| América-RN | Relegation | 24.5% | 38.2% | +13.7 |
| Vila Nova | Promotion | 55.2% | 67.3% | +12.1 |
| Gama | Relegation | 34.8% | 23.4% | −11.3 |
| Grêmio Barueri | Promotion | 43.1% | 32.0% | −11.1 |
| Juventude | Promotion | 20.4% | 9.4% | −11.0 |
| Paraná | Relegation | 54.3% | 45.1% | −9.2 |
| Ponte Preta | Promotion | 22.6% | 14.0% | −8.5 |
| Marília | Relegation | 35.3% | 42.4% | +7.1 |
