Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 2 draws and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Brasiliense beat Marília with a 19.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 16 (before the first match) against those on August 23 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brasiliense | Relegation | 85.4% | 71.5% | −13.9 |
| Fortaleza | Relegation | 28.8% | 17.4% | −11.4 |
| Grêmio Barueri | Promotion | 25.6% | 36.5% | +10.9 |
| Marília | Relegation | 20.6% | 31.0% | +10.4 |
| América-RN | Relegation | 29.2% | 20.3% | −9.0 |
| Vila Nova | Promotion | 32.8% | 41.6% | +8.7 |
| Gama | Relegation | 23.3% | 32.0% | +8.6 |
| Ponte Preta | Promotion | 41.3% | 32.8% | −8.4 |
| Corinthians | Champion | 59.1% | 66.1% | +7.0 |
| Juventude | Promotion | 19.3% | 13.4% | −5.9 |
