Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 13 (before the first match) against those on August 16 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ponte Preta | Promotion | 28.7% | 41.3% | +12.6 |
| Santo André | Promotion | 36.7% | 48.8% | +12.1 |
| Juventude | Promotion | 29.2% | 19.3% | −9.9 |
| Vila Nova | Promotion | 42.4% | 32.8% | −9.6 |
| Criciúma | Relegation | 20.1% | 28.6% | +8.5 |
| Paraná | Relegation | 55.4% | 63.8% | +8.4 |
| Grêmio Barueri | Promotion | 18.0% | 25.6% | +7.6 |
| ABC | Relegation | 15.6% | 9.0% | −6.7 |
| Red Bull Bragantino | Relegation | 13.0% | 6.4% | −6.5 |
| Bahia | Promotion | 20.8% | 14.3% | −6.5 |
