Round 11

Chance of each result
Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.

10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 4 draws and 2 away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.

What the matchday changed

Chances on July 9 (before the first match) against those on July 12 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.

TeamObjectiveBeforeAfterChange (pp)
JuventudePromotion48.8%60.7%+11.9
Red Bull BragantinoRelegation25.5%15.4%−10.2
CRBRelegation65.9%56.2%−9.8
GamaRelegation50.4%59.6%+9.3
Ponte PretaRelegation19.8%11.2%−8.6
Grêmio BarueriPromotion45.5%37.1%−8.4
ParanáRelegation16.8%24.3%+7.5
Ponte PretaPromotion9.1%16.0%+6.9
CearáPromotion21.9%28.6%+6.7
BrasilienseRelegation23.7%29.3%+5.7
Home 48.7%
Draw 25.0%
Away 26.3%
Home 50.1%
Draw 24.7%
Away 25.2%
Home 48.7%
Draw 25.0%
Away 26.3%
Home 55.5%
Draw 23.5%
Away 21.0%
Home 52.4%
Draw 24.2%
Away 23.4%
Home 46.2%
Draw 25.6%
Away 28.3%
Home 48.2%
Draw 25.1%
Away 26.7%
Home 49.5%
Draw 24.8%
Away 25.7%
Home 45.3%
Draw 25.8%
Away 28.9%
Home 54.4%
Draw 23.7%
Away 21.9%