Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 2 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Grêmio Barueri beat Ituano with a 24.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on June 26 (before the first match) against those on June 30 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ituano | Relegation | 43.3% | 59.5% | +16.2 |
| Santo André | Relegation | 47.8% | 33.1% | −14.6 |
| Grêmio Barueri | Promotion | 15.8% | 28.3% | +12.5 |
| Remo | Relegation | 48.9% | 60.3% | +11.4 |
| Gama | Promotion | 41.2% | 30.1% | −11.1 |
| Ceará | Relegation | 26.6% | 15.8% | −10.7 |
| Ponte Preta | Promotion | 40.8% | 30.0% | −10.7 |
| Marília | Promotion | 20.4% | 30.7% | +10.3 |
| Vitória | Promotion | 21.2% | 31.3% | +10.0 |
| São Caetano | Promotion | 27.1% | 18.1% | −9.0 |
