Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 1 draw and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Brasiliense beat Fortaleza with a 23.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on June 23 (before the first match) against those on June 26 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Criciúma | Promotion | 46.3% | 60.2% | +13.9 |
| Avaí | Relegation | 54.8% | 42.7% | −12.1 |
| Ipatinga | Relegation | 48.9% | 37.1% | −11.8 |
| Santo André | Relegation | 37.0% | 47.8% | +10.8 |
| Ponte Preta | Promotion | 51.2% | 40.8% | −10.4 |
| Remo | Relegation | 38.7% | 48.9% | +10.2 |
| Criciúma | Champion | 15.5% | 25.3% | +9.8 |
| Brasiliense | Promotion | 22.0% | 31.5% | +9.5 |
| Paulista | Relegation | 35.5% | 26.7% | −8.8 |
| Coritiba | Promotion | 40.9% | 32.3% | −8.6 |
