Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 4 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Portuguesa beat São Caetano with a 17.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on June 16 (before the first match) against those on June 23 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| São Caetano | Promotion | 43.7% | 31.5% | −12.3 |
| CRB | Relegation | 30.2% | 18.1% | −12.1 |
| Criciúma | Promotion | 36.1% | 46.3% | +10.1 |
| Vitória | Promotion | 18.6% | 28.7% | +10.0 |
| Avaí | Relegation | 45.1% | 54.8% | +9.7 |
| Fortaleza | Promotion | 37.8% | 28.5% | −9.3 |
| Portuguesa | Relegation | 27.3% | 18.2% | −9.2 |
| Ponte Preta | Promotion | 43.6% | 51.2% | +7.6 |
| Marília | Promotion | 21.5% | 13.9% | −7.5 |
| Marília | Relegation | 12.3% | 19.8% | +7.4 |
