Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 1 draw and 3 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Remo beat Avaí with a 21.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on June 9 (before the first match) against those on June 16 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ituano | Relegation | 45.6% | 30.7% | −14.9 |
| Ipatinga | Relegation | 30.0% | 44.1% | +14.1 |
| Santo André | Relegation | 25.9% | 39.4% | +13.4 |
| Portuguesa | Relegation | 40.7% | 27.3% | −13.3 |
| Ponte Preta | Promotion | 30.5% | 43.6% | +13.1 |
| Criciúma | Promotion | 23.4% | 36.1% | +12.8 |
| Fortaleza | Promotion | 50.2% | 37.8% | −12.4 |
| Remo | Relegation | 48.3% | 36.6% | −11.6 |
| Gama | Promotion | 26.3% | 37.3% | +11.0 |
| Avaí | Relegation | 34.5% | 45.1% | +10.5 |
