Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 3 draws and 2 away wins. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Santo André beat Vitória with a 16.9% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on June 2 (before the first match) against those on June 9 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santo André | Relegation | 38.7% | 25.9% | −12.7 |
| Vitória | Promotion | 40.0% | 28.2% | −11.8 |
| Ituano | Relegation | 56.0% | 45.6% | −10.4 |
| São Caetano | Promotion | 35.4% | 45.6% | +10.1 |
| Coritiba | Promotion | 24.9% | 34.8% | +9.8 |
| Paulista | Relegation | 17.8% | 27.7% | +9.8 |
| Remo | Relegation | 39.9% | 48.3% | +8.3 |
| Santa Cruz | Promotion | 33.1% | 25.1% | −8.0 |
| Marília | Promotion | 23.4% | 31.3% | +7.9 |
| Fortaleza | Promotion | 43.1% | 50.2% | +7.1 |
