Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 1 draw and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: São Caetano beat Coritiba with a 22.7% chance and Ceará beat Portuguesa with a 21.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 26 (before the first match) against those on June 2 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vitória | Promotion | 27.5% | 40.0% | +12.5 |
| Ituano | Relegation | 43.7% | 56.0% | +12.3 |
| Remo | Relegation | 28.5% | 39.9% | +11.5 |
| Paulista | Relegation | 29.1% | 17.8% | −11.3 |
| Coritiba | Promotion | 36.1% | 24.9% | −11.2 |
| Ponte Preta | Promotion | 47.9% | 37.2% | −10.8 |
| São Caetano | Promotion | 24.7% | 35.4% | +10.7 |
| Santa Cruz | Promotion | 43.7% | 33.1% | −10.6 |
| Ipatinga | Relegation | 21.0% | 31.6% | +10.5 |
| Portuguesa | Relegation | 24.8% | 34.7% | +9.9 |
