Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 1 draw and 3 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Santo André beat Remo with a 19.2% chance and Vitória beat Ceará with a 21.3% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 19 (before the first match) against those on May 26 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortaleza | Promotion | 53.6% | 36.7% | −16.8 |
| Brasiliense | Relegation | 28.4% | 14.3% | −14.2 |
| Vitória | Relegation | 24.9% | 10.9% | −14.0 |
| Ceará | Relegation | 17.3% | 31.0% | +13.6 |
| Vitória | Promotion | 14.0% | 27.5% | +13.6 |
| Santo André | Relegation | 42.3% | 29.5% | −12.8 |
| Santa Cruz | Promotion | 31.6% | 43.7% | +12.1 |
| CRB | Relegation | 20.6% | 32.5% | +11.9 |
| Grêmio Barueri | Relegation | 40.5% | 28.8% | −11.7 |
| Paulista | Relegation | 17.7% | 29.1% | +11.4 |
