Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 1 draw and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Paulista beat Criciúma with a 22.1% chance and São Caetano beat Fortaleza with a 22.5% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 10 (before the first match) against those on November 13 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paulista | Relegation | 59.8% | 26.1% | −33.7 |
| Santa Cruz | Relegation | 74.2% | 95.3% | +21.1 |
| Marília | Promotion | 45.3% | 24.5% | −20.9 |
| Vitória | Promotion | 67.4% | 88.1% | +20.7 |
| Gama | Relegation | 13.2% | 30.7% | +17.6 |
| Coritiba | Champion | 86.4% | 96.0% | +9.6 |
| Ipatinga | Promotion | 90.7% | 99.4% | +8.7 |
| Santo André | Relegation | 47.1% | 38.8% | −8.3 |
| Portuguesa | Champion | 6.9% | 0% | −6.9 |
| Portuguesa | Promotion | 92.0% | 88.0% | −4.0 |
