Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 2 draws and 2 away wins. 2 wins went against the pre-match probabilities: Brasiliense beat Ceará with a 22.4% chance and Ipatinga beat Gama with a 24.8% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on November 3 (before the first match) against those on November 10 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paulista | Relegation | 78.8% | 59.8% | −19.0 |
| Vitória | Promotion | 84.5% | 67.4% | −17.1 |
| Ipatinga | Promotion | 74.2% | 90.7% | +16.5 |
| Santa Cruz | Relegation | 58.5% | 74.2% | +15.7 |
| Santo André | Relegation | 33.5% | 47.1% | +13.5 |
| Marília | Promotion | 33.9% | 45.3% | +11.4 |
| Portuguesa | Promotion | 81.6% | 92.0% | +10.5 |
| Avaí | Relegation | 11.3% | 2.0% | −9.3 |
| Criciúma | Promotion | 10.5% | 1.7% | −8.8 |
| Gama | Relegation | 4.3% | 13.2% | +8.8 |
