Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 6 home wins, 3 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Santo André beat Criciúma with a 20.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on October 30 (before the first match) against those on November 3 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santo André | Relegation | 66.3% | 33.5% | −32.8 |
| Criciúma | Promotion | 35.2% | 10.5% | −24.7 |
| Santa Cruz | Relegation | 38.0% | 58.5% | +20.5 |
| Paulista | Relegation | 62.6% | 78.8% | +16.1 |
| Ipatinga | Promotion | 61.6% | 74.2% | +12.7 |
| Portuguesa | Promotion | 69.1% | 81.6% | +12.5 |
| Marília | Promotion | 28.0% | 33.9% | +5.9 |
| São Caetano | Relegation | 6.1% | 1.5% | −4.6 |
| Brasiliense | Relegation | 6.8% | 2.3% | −4.5 |
| Grêmio Barueri | Promotion | 4.8% | 1.4% | −3.5 |
