Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 7 home wins, 2 draws and 1 away win. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on May 12 (before the first match) against those on May 19 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portuguesa | Relegation | 40.4% | 19.7% | −20.7 |
| Santo André | Relegation | 26.3% | 42.3% | +16.0 |
| Avaí | Relegation | 38.8% | 23.5% | −15.3 |
| Grêmio Barueri | Relegation | 26.6% | 40.5% | +13.9 |
| Santa Cruz | Promotion | 18.7% | 31.6% | +12.9 |
| Brasiliense | Relegation | 15.8% | 28.4% | +12.6 |
| São Caetano | Promotion | 19.6% | 30.3% | +10.7 |
| Vitória | Relegation | 15.0% | 24.9% | +9.9 |
| Fortaleza | Promotion | 43.8% | 53.6% | +9.8 |
| Portuguesa | Promotion | 7.6% | 17.4% | +9.7 |
