Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 5 draws and no away wins. No winner had less than a 25.0% chance before the match.
What the matchday changed
Chances on September 1 (before the first match) against those on September 4 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marília | Promotion | 68.8% | 80.3% | +11.6 |
| Santa Cruz | Relegation | 38.4% | 27.4% | −11.0 |
| Marília | Champion | 22.2% | 33.1% | +10.9 |
| Ipatinga | Promotion | 27.2% | 37.8% | +10.6 |
| Criciúma | Champion | 33.6% | 24.7% | −9.0 |
| Ponte Preta | Promotion | 16.3% | 23.0% | +6.6 |
| Brasiliense | Promotion | 38.7% | 32.7% | −6.1 |
| CRB | Promotion | 20.9% | 15.5% | −5.5 |
| Vitória | Promotion | 22.8% | 17.5% | −5.4 |
| Paulista | Relegation | 15.9% | 21.2% | +5.3 |
