Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 5 home wins, 4 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: Ipatinga beat Portuguesa with a 21.7% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 28 (before the first match) against those on September 1 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ipatinga | Promotion | 14.9% | 27.2% | +12.2 |
| Coritiba | Promotion | 55.4% | 66.6% | +11.2 |
| Paulista | Relegation | 25.4% | 15.9% | −9.5 |
| Criciúma | Promotion | 69.8% | 78.8% | +9.1 |
| Portuguesa | Promotion | 25.2% | 16.4% | −8.8 |
| Brasiliense | Promotion | 47.4% | 38.7% | −8.7 |
| Criciúma | Champion | 25.6% | 33.6% | +8.1 |
| Gama | Relegation | 19.5% | 11.9% | −7.6 |
| Santo André | Relegation | 35.5% | 28.0% | −7.4 |
| São Caetano | Relegation | 16.9% | 23.4% | +6.5 |
