Pre-match statistical estimates, for information only. Not advice and not to be used for betting.
10 matches played out of 10: 4 home wins, 5 draws and 1 away win. One win went against the pre-match probabilities: CRB beat Fortaleza with a 23.2% chance.
What the matchday changed
Chances on August 25 (before the first match) against those on August 28 (after the last one). Only changes of 3 percentage points or more; a postponed match from another matchday played in between also counts.
| Team | Objective | Before | After | Change (pp) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brasiliense | Promotion | 37.9% | 47.4% | +9.5 |
| CRB | Promotion | 15.2% | 24.7% | +9.5 |
| Grêmio Barueri | Promotion | 16.6% | 24.7% | +8.1 |
| Coritiba | Promotion | 63.3% | 55.4% | −7.9 |
| Fortaleza | Relegation | 16.1% | 23.0% | +6.9 |
| Santa Cruz | Relegation | 31.5% | 38.1% | +6.7 |
| Ponte Preta | Promotion | 22.8% | 16.2% | −6.6 |
| Vitória | Promotion | 23.1% | 29.1% | +6.1 |
| Criciúma | Promotion | 75.8% | 69.8% | −6.0 |
| Ipatinga | Relegation | 10.1% | 4.4% | −5.7 |
